Gavin comments on Rationality quotes: May 2010 - Less Wrong

3 Post author: ata 01 May 2010 05:48AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Article Navigation

Comments (288)
Tags: quotes

Comments (288)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: MichaelGR 01 May 2010 05:48:07PM 12 points [-]

By definition, all but the last doomsday prediction is false. Yet it does not follow, as many seem to think, that all doomsday predictions must be false; what follow is only that all such predictions but one are false.

-Richard A. Posner, Catastrophe: Risk and Response, p. 13

Comment author: Gavin 02 May 2010 04:00:15AM 4 points [-]

Most "doomsday predictions" do not actually predict the total annihilation of the human race.

It might be postulated that we don't have records of most correct doomsday predictions because the predictor and anyone listening met with doom.

Powered by Reddit Powered by Reddit