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RobinZ comments on But Somebody Would Have Noticed - Less Wrong
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I'm not sure what your thesis is. It sounds like you're talking about a problem with a particular heuristic, but I'm not sure why you would tell the story the way you have to make that point.
Not a particular heuristic. I haven't seen a name for this problem, but it is a combination of signaling, status, and in-groups. The social construction of what counts as evidence.