roland comments on But Somebody Would Have Noticed - Less Wrong

36 Post author: Alicorn 04 May 2010 06:56PM

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Comment author: roland 05 May 2010 04:42:07AM 0 points [-]

Great post Alikorn! I think there are some arguments that are similar to "But somebody would have noticed." that are used to discredit any unusual hypothesis and that I read already several times on LW, they are:

Regarding conspiracy theories:

  1. "If this were true some whistle blower would step forward."
  2. "You are privileging the hypothesis because the prior probability of it is much to low."