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JoshuaZ comments on But Somebody Would Have Noticed - Less Wrong
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That's hideously ill-defined. What do you mean by bluffed? And to whom does the answer need to be convincing? Moreover, even if someone here has "bluffed" (whatever that means in this context) how does that say anything about Jack's point?
By bluffed I mean: "A person said something that he/she cannot back up."
That's a good question. Who would adjudicate this?
For the other point read my answer here: http://lesswrong.com/lw/27e/but_somebody_would_have_noticed/1yu8