JGWeissman comments on Beauty quips, "I'd shut up and multiply!" - Less Wrong

6 Post author: neq1 07 May 2010 02:34PM

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Comment author: JGWeissman 07 May 2010 08:16:39PM 2 points [-]

If the coin is tails, you would ask two random passerbies.

Comment author: thomblake 07 May 2010 08:20:22PM 0 points [-]

Aha. In that case, I'd say it's analogous, but I might just be granting that since the correct answer there is 1/3 as well. Or are there folks that would answer 1/2 to this scenario?

Comment author: Unknowns 08 May 2010 07:17:31AM 1 point [-]

Yes, the answer is 1/3, because I am more likely to be asked if it was tails. But in the original problem, I am not more likely to be asked, I am just asked more often, so there is no analogy.