JGWeissman comments on Beauty quips, "I'd shut up and multiply!" - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (335)
SB starts out with four equaly likely possibilities. On observing that she wakes up, she eliminates one of them, but does not distinguish between the remaining possiblities. Renormalizing the probabilities gives probability 1/3 to the remaining possibilities.