Tiiba comments on Beauty quips, "I'd shut up and multiply!" - Less Wrong

6 Post author: neq1 07 May 2010 02:34PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (335)

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: Tiiba 08 May 2010 02:42:20AM *  0 points [-]

If Sleeping Beauty doesn't know what day it is, what could possibly motivate her to say that the probability of heads is something other than 50%? I mean, she knows nothing about the coin except that it's round and shiny, and the metal costs more than the coin does.

Unless I misunderstood, this problem is smoke and mirrors.

Comment author: timtyler 09 May 2010 07:41:23PM 2 points [-]

If she thinks she will be asked what the coin shows more times if it is tails.