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Roko comments on Beauty quips, "I'd shut up and multiply!" - Less Wrong
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I have a question for those more familiar with the discussions surrounding this problem: is there anything really relevant about the sleeping/waking/amnesia story here? What if instead the experimenter just went out and asked the next random passerby on the street each time?
It seems to me that the problem could be formulated less confusingly that way. Am I missing something?
I'm not sure I understand your "really extreme" formulation fully. Is the amnesia supposed to make the wins in chocolate bars non-cumulative?