timtyler comments on Beauty quips, "I'd shut up and multiply!" - Less Wrong

6 Post author: neq1 07 May 2010 02:34PM

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Comment author: timtyler 09 May 2010 02:00:04PM 5 points [-]

The coverage on http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sleeping_Beauty_problem seems much less confused than this post.

Comment author: neq1 10 May 2010 12:37:32PM -2 points [-]

I disagree. That's why I quoted from that site and explained where I think the errors are.

Comment author: timtyler 10 May 2010 05:56:51PM 0 points [-]

Alas, that site is correct - and your whole post is totally wrong.

Comment author: neq1 10 May 2010 08:40:37PM -2 points [-]

Except I showed why it's wrong. I understand both the 1/3 and 1/2 solutions. I showed where 1/3 reasoning fails.