Comment on Beauty quips, "I'd shut up and multiply!"

Mon, 10 May 2010 14:17:48 GMT

I'm treating credence for heads as her confidence in heads, as expressed as a number between 0 and 1 (inclusive), given everything she knows at the time. I see it as the same things as a posterior probability.

I don't think disagreement is due to different uses of the word credence. It appears to me that we are all talking about the same thing.

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