timtyler comments on Beauty quips, "I'd shut up and multiply!" - Less Wrong

6 Post author: neq1 07 May 2010 02:34PM

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Comment author: timtyler 10 May 2010 07:14:34AM *  4 points [-]

She knows in advance how many times she will be woken up (on each coin result). It says so in the problem description. So, she never answers 1/2 in the first place. She doesn't update on awakening. She updates when she is told the experimental procedure in the first place.

Comment author: neq1 10 May 2010 01:24:21PM 1 point [-]

So, in the extreme sleeping beauty problem, when she is told the experimental procedure, she decides that it will be tails with near certainty?