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timtyler comments on Beauty quips, "I'd shut up and multiply!" - Less Wrong
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What you said further up this branch of the thread was:
"if you want to think about doing 1000 replications of the experiment, it should go like this".
Now you seem to be trying to shift the context retrospectively - now that you have found out that all the answers you gave to this were wrong.
You know that's not true. I didn't just discover the '500 500 500' answer -- I quoted it from wikipedia and showed why it was wrong.
I should have made it clear what I meant by experiment, but you know what I meant now, so why take it as an opportunity to insult?
I don't know what you mean by "experiment".
"The process that lead to an awakening" refers not to one physical process, but potentially to multiple partly-overlapping physical processes per actual physical experiment.
You mean to run the physical experiment around 666 times, resulting in 1000 awakeningns in total - around 667 on Monday, and around 333 on Tuesday? Rather obviously that doesn't support your maths either.
I have yet to find a sum that gives 500:250:250 as originally claimed. There is no 250 involved. Your supplied "probability tree" image is just nonsense - a wrong analysis of the problem, irrespective of what bet you think the question corresponds to.
I don't think it is accurate to describe my post as "insulting".