mattnewport comments on Beauty quips, "I'd shut up and multiply!" - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (335)
Does it not concern you even a little that the Wikipedia article you linked to quite clearly says you are wrong and explains why?
I started by reading the wikipedia page. At that point, the 1/3 solution made some sense to me, but I was bothered by the fact that you couldn't derive it from probability laws. I then read articles by Bostrom and Radford. I spent a lot of time working on the problem, etc. Eventually, I figured out precisely why the 1/3 solution is wrong.
Is Wikipedia a stronger authority than me here? Probably. But I know where the argument there fails, so it's not very convincing.