mattnewport comments on Beauty quips, "I'd shut up and multiply!" - Less Wrong

6 Post author: neq1 07 May 2010 02:34PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (335)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: mattnewport 11 May 2010 04:33:44AM 3 points [-]

Does it not concern you even a little that the Wikipedia article you linked to quite clearly says you are wrong and explains why?

Comment author: neq1 11 May 2010 11:11:29AM 0 points [-]

I started by reading the wikipedia page. At that point, the 1/3 solution made some sense to me, but I was bothered by the fact that you couldn't derive it from probability laws. I then read articles by Bostrom and Radford. I spent a lot of time working on the problem, etc. Eventually, I figured out precisely why the 1/3 solution is wrong.

Is Wikipedia a stronger authority than me here? Probably. But I know where the argument there fails, so it's not very convincing.