JGWeissman comments on What is bunk? - Less Wrong

20 [deleted] 08 May 2010 06:06PM

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Comment author: JGWeissman 09 May 2010 06:23:20PM 0 points [-]

Yes, in some cases, there is no (after the fact) non-controversial set of issues to use to determine how effective an expert is. Which means that I can't convince the general public of how much they should trust the expert, but I can still figure out how much I should trust em by looking at their positions that I can evaluate.

There is also the possibility of saying something about such an expert based on correlations with experts whose predictions can be non-controversially evaluated.