timtyler comments on Conditioning on Observers - Less Wrong

6 Post author: Jonathan_Lee 11 May 2010 05:15AM

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Comment author: timtyler 11 May 2010 08:00:10PM *  0 points [-]

Well you did divide 500 by 2 - getting 250. And you should have multiplied the 500 tails events by 2 (the number of interviews that were conducted after each "tails" event) - getting 1000 "tails" interviews in total. 250 has nothing to do with this problem.