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DuncanS comments on Updating, part 1: When can you change your mind? The binary model - Less Wrong
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Comments (153)
This suggestion contains a classic bootstrapping problem. If only I knew I was good at statistics, then I'd be confident of analysing this problem which tells me whether or not I'm good at statistics. But since I'm not sure, I'm not sure whether this will give me the right answer.
I think I'll stick to counting.