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RobinZ comments on Updating, part 1: When can you change your mind? The binary model - Less Wrong
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I'm perfectly happy to come back and vote this up after I am satisfied that it is good, and I haven't and won't vote it down. I think it's a good idea to seek public comment, but the voting is supposed to indicate posts which are excellent for public consumption - this isn't, unless it's the technical first half of a pair of such posts. I want to know that the formalization parallels the reality, and it's not clear that it does before it is run.
So, you don't want to vote until you see the results; and I don't want to waste an entire day writing up the results if few people are interested. Is there a general solution to this general problem?
(The "Part 1" in the title was supposed to indicate that it is the first part of a multi-part post.)
If you are confident in the practical value of your results, I would recommend posting. Otherwise I can't help you.