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Caspian comments on Updating, part 1: When can you change your mind? The binary model - Less Wrong
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It also didn't get a lot of on-topic comments. Possibly because guessing the answers to your questions seems the wrong way to answer them - the correct way being to put it to the test with the program, which means rewriting it (wasteful) or waiting for you to post it.
Are you planning on posting the perl script? I'm a bit tempted to just translate what you've got in the post into python, but realistically I probably won't get around to it anytime soon.
I think there's a way to upload it to LessWrong and post a link to it. But I don't know how. My email is <my username> at gmail.
Summarizing the results in the same post would result in a gigantic post that people wouldn't want to read.