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Caspian comments on Updating, part 1: When can you change your mind? The binary model - Less Wrong
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Does the 2-group split stay even if you continue the simulation until all answers have been revealed?
If you increase the standard deviation of p[i] so there are more very right and very wrong guessers, do they tend to split more into right and wrong groups? I expect they would.
Good question - no; revelation of answers eventually causes convergence into 1 group.
It makes the splitting happen faster.