= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
steven0461 comments on Preface to a Proposal for a New Mode of Inquiry - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (83)
Also, people who believe hard takeoff is plausible are more likely to want to work with SIAI, and people at SIAI will probably have heard the pro-hard-takeoff arguments more than the anti-hard-takeoff arguments. That said, <1% is as far as I can tell a clear outlier among those who have thought seriously about the issue.
When Robin visited Benton house and the 1% figure was brought up, he was skeptical that he had ever made such a claim. Do you know where that estimate came up (on OB or wherever)? I'm worried about ascribing incorrect probability estimates to people who are fully able to give new ones if we asked.
Off-topic question: Is Benton house the same as the SIAI house? (I see that it is in the Bay Area.) Edit: Thanks Nick and Kevin!
The people living there seem to call it Benton house or Benton but I try to avoid calling it that to most people because it is clearly confusing. It'll be even more confusing if the SIAI house moves from Benton Street...
Yes.