Vladimir_Nesov comments on Be a Visiting Fellow at the Singularity Institute - Less Wrong

26 Post author: AnnaSalamon 19 May 2010 08:00AM

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Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 24 May 2010 01:48:20PM 2 points [-]

GAI is vastly more costly to develop (for reasons I've outlined), and doesn't provide many advantages over expert systems.

What a strange thing to say.

Comment author: snarles 25 May 2010 07:36:17AM *  1 point [-]

Our current conception of AGI is based on a biased comparison of hypothetical AGI capabilities with our relatively unehanced capabilities. By the time AGI is viable, a typical professional with expert systems will be able to vastly outperform current professionals with our current tools.

Comment author: Risto_Saarelma 25 May 2010 09:28:50AM 1 point [-]

What about the speed bottleneck from human decision making, compounded by human working memory bottleneck, if lots of relevant data is involved? Algorithmic trading already has automated systems doing stock trades since they can make decisions so much faster than a human expert.

Comment author: snarles 25 May 2010 10:48:57AM 0 points [-]

Expert systems would be faster still. For AGI to be justified in this case, you would need a task that required both speed and creativity.

Comment author: Risto_Saarelma 25 May 2010 12:59:03PM 1 point [-]

I imagine being very fast would be a great help in quite a few creative tasks. Off the top of my head, being able to develop new features in software in seconds instead of days would be a significant competitive advantage.

Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 25 May 2010 09:11:20AM -1 points [-]

"AGI capability" is to rewrite the universe.

Comment author: snarles 25 May 2010 10:50:22AM 0 points [-]

Yes, but it would have to take the resources from humans first.