I don't think your scenario is even plausible. Military complexes have to have some connection to the outside world for supplies and communication, and the AGI would figure out how to exploit it. It would also figure out that it should, it would recognize the vulnerability of being concentrated with the blast radius of a nuke.
It seems unlikely that an AGI in this situation would depend on fending off military attacks, instead of just not revealing itself outside the complex.
You also seem to have strange ideas of how easy it is to brainwash soldiers. Imitating the command structure might get them to do things within the complex, but brainwashing has to be a lot more sophisticated to get them to engage in battle with their fellow soldiers.
Your argument basically seems to be based on coming up with something foolish for an AGI to do, and then trying to find reasons to compel the AGI to behave that way. Instead, you should try to figure out the best thing the AGI could do in that situation, and realize it will do something at least that effective.
It's an artificial intelligence, not an infallible god.
In the case of a base established specifically for research on dangerous software, connections to the outside world might reasonably be heavily monitored and low-bandwidth, to the point that escape through a land line would simply be infeasible.
If the base has a trespassers-will-be-shot policy (again, as a consequence of the research going on there), convincing the perimeter guards to open fire would be as simple as changing the passwords and resupply schedules.
The point of this speculation was to desc...
Now is the very last minute to apply for a Summer 2010 Visiting Fellowship. If you’ve been interested in SIAI for a while, but haven’t quite managed to make contact -- or if you’re just looking for a good way to spend a week or more of your summer -- drop us a line. See what an SIAI summer might do for you and the world.
(SIAI’s Visiting Fellow program brings volunteers to SIAI for anywhere from a week to three months, to learn, teach, and collaborate. Flights and room and board are covered. We’ve been rolling since June of 2009, with good success.)
Apply because:
Apply especially if:
(You don’t need all of the above; some is fine.)
Don’t be intimidated -- SIAI contains most of the smartest people I’ve ever met, but we’re also a very open community. Err on the side of sending in an application; then, at least we’ll know each other. (Applications for fall and beyond are also welcome; we’re taking Fellows on a rolling basis.)
If you’d like a better idea of what SIAI is, and what we’re aimed at, check out:
1. SIAI's Brief Introduction;
2. The Challenge projects;
3. Our 2009 accomplishments;
4. Videos from past Singularity Summits (the 2010 Summit will happen during this summer’s program, Aug 14-15 in SF; visiting Fellows will assist);
5. Comments from our last Call for Visiting Fellows; and/or
6. Bios of the 2009 Summer Fellows.
Or just drop me a line. Our application process is informal -- just send me an email at anna at singinst dot org with: (1) a resume/c.v. or similar information; and (2) a few sentences on why you’re applying. And we’ll figure out where to go from there.
Looking forward to hearing from you.