Daniel_Burfoot comments on Taking the awkwardness out of a Prenup - A Game Theoretic solution - Less Wrong

29 Post author: VijayKrishnan 22 May 2010 12:45AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (106)

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: Daniel_Burfoot 22 May 2010 04:12:58AM 5 points [-]

I think this kind of strategic-legal hacking is very promising. Another example would be a company that wants to commit itself to a certain product. Say Apple wants to commit itself to producing the iPad, so they could sign a contract that says, if they fail to manufacture 100K iPads per year until the year 2020, they forfeit 10 billion dollars. That commitment would encourage developers who are considering iPad development and companies thinking about integrating the iPad into their IT architecture. It would also deter rival tablet manufacturers.

Comment deleted 22 May 2010 02:49:19PM [-]
Comment author: Emile 25 May 2010 09:46:53AM 3 points [-]

It could also be something like "Apple will auction off some of it's property (a subsidiary, intellectual rights to something valuable, some real estate ...) to the highest bidder if it doesn't manufacture 100K iPads", with the condition that it can't sell that property before 2020, but can otherwise use it normally. This keeps most of the advantages of the 10 billion dollars as incentive, without the side effect of risking bankrupcy or tying the money down.

Comment author: NihilCredo 25 May 2010 04:01:49AM 1 point [-]

Could they sign up a contract for with one or more of the companies supplying the individual iPad components for 100K pieces a year until 2020, with a hefty penalty for breach of contract, and loudly publicise the deal? They'd lose the option of switching suppliers in case a better one came along, but it may be worth it given the strategic payoff.

(That is assuming the company in question doesn't have a vertical monopoly, controlling all production steps from the ore mines to quality testing, which is a very reasonable assumption for nearly every physical product)

Comment author: John_Maxwell_IV 22 May 2010 07:22:15PM 1 point [-]

What if the contract specified that it would pay 10 billion dollars only if it could afford to?

Comment author: Alicorn 22 May 2010 07:23:08PM 5 points [-]

Then if it looked like they would have to pay, they could tie up all their money in irrevocable long-term investments.

Comment author: John_Maxwell_IV 22 May 2010 07:26:34PM 0 points [-]

OK, they could put $10 billion in a trust that they would be required to give up if they didn't manufacture enough iPads.

Comment author: orthonormal 23 May 2010 05:33:00PM 2 points [-]

I think you can see the problem with the policy of tying up an amount of money you can't afford to lose: that you probably need that money to run your normal business, and that the interest on an equivalent loan would probably cost more than the plan was worth to you.