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Vladimir_Nesov comments on Taking the awkwardness out of a Prenup - A Game Theoretic solution - Less Wrong
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But can you keep the 50% figure while changing what it denotes? Where does the figure come from?
The 50% american divorce rate is mostly in line with published statistics. I don't think it is unrealistic to assume that an overwhelming majority of folks getting married, feel that they are getting married to "the one", so I am just keeping the 50% figure. In any case getting this number to be very accurate is not important to the argument, so I didn't care to get the best possible estimate of this possible.
Then say "a fair portion of", not "50%". Saying "50%" gives an illusion of actual data.
I'm not so sure.
I wrote "probably 50%". I guess it could be reasonably inferred that this is an extrapolation using my best guess coupled with actual numbers.