JoshuaZ comments on Abnormal Cryonics - Less Wrong

56 Post author: Will_Newsome 26 May 2010 07:43AM

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Comment author: JoshuaZ 27 May 2010 12:05:38AM 1 point [-]

Really? Even if you buy into Will's estimate, there are at least three arguments that are not weak:

1) The expected utility argument (I presented above arguments for why this fails, but it isn't completely clear that those rebuttals are valid)

2) One might think that buying into cryonics helps force people (including oneself) to think about the future in a way that produces positive utility.

3) One gets a positive utility from the hope that one might survive using cryonics.

Note that all three of these are fairly standard pro-cryonics arguments that all are valid even with the low probability estimate made by Will.

Comment deleted 27 May 2010 10:55:55AM *  [-]
Comment author: JoshuaZ 27 May 2010 02:17:47PM 0 points [-]

none of those hold for p = 1 in a million.

That really depends a lot on the expected utility. Moreover, argument 2 above (getting people to think about long-term prospects) has little connection to the value of p.

Comment deleted 27 May 2010 03:03:17PM [-]
Comment author: JoshuaZ 27 May 2010 03:09:04PM 0 points [-]

Even a small chance that you will be there helps put people in the mind-set to think long-term.