Houshalter comments on Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way) - Less Wrong
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Comments (191)
Emphasis on 'unjustified'. Example. This sounds awfully flippant and sure of yourself - "This system wouldn't work at all". Why do you suppose so many people, including professional political scientists / political philosophers / philosophers of law think that it would work? Do you have an amazing insight that they're all missing? Sure, there are people with many different positions on this issue, but unless you're actually going to join the debate and give solid reasons, you weren't really contributing anything with this comment.
Also, comments on political issues are discouraged, as politics is the mind-killer. Unless you're really sure your political comment is appropriate, hold off on posting it. And if you're really sure your political comment is too important not to post, you should check to make sure you're being rational, as that's a good sign you're not.
Again, emphasis on 'unjustified'. If people here believe something, there are usually very good reasons for it. Going against that without at least attempting a justification is not recommended. Here are hundreds of people who have spent years trying to understand how to, in general, be correct about things, and they have managed to reach agreement on some issues. You should be shaken by that, unless you know precisely where they've all gone wrong, and in that case you should say so. If you're right, they'll all change their minds.
You've indicated you have false beliefs. That is a point against you. Also if you think the world is flat, the moon is made of green cheese, or 2+2=3, and don't manage to fix that when someone tells you you're wrong, rationalists will have a lower opinion of you. If you manage to convince them that 2+2=3, then you win back more points than you've lost, but it's probably not worth the try.