JoshuaZ comments on Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way) - Less Wrong

126 Post author: komponisto 03 June 2010 04:40AM

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Comment author: JoshuaZ 04 June 2010 07:17:27PM *  2 points [-]

Because they don't!? I was talking about how the FDA is right, the "wouldn't work at all" is an unregulated drug industry. If you don't like my opinion, fine, but lots of people would agree with me including many of those "political philosophers" you speak so highly of.

Speaking as someone who thinks that the general outline of your point in that thread is the correct conclusion, the problem is you gave zero evidence or logic for why you would be correct. Suppose someone says "Hey we do things like X right now, but what if we did Y instead?" You can't just respond "Y won't work." If you say "Y won't work because of problems A,B, C" or "X works better than Y because of problems D,E,F" then you've got a discussion going. But otherwise, all you have is someone shouting "is not"/"is too."

What if it's not a false belief? It's alot different from "2+2=3" or "the world is flat". Why? Because you can prove those things correct or incorrect.

If we're talking about the religion matter again, which it seems we are, weren't you already linked to the Mysterious Answers sequence? And I'm pretty sure you were explicitly given this post. Maybe instead of waiting 8 minutes to post between that time read some of the things people have asked you to read? Or maybe spend a few hours just reading the sequences?

Edit: It is possible that you are running into problems with inferential distance.