avalot comments on Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way) - Less Wrong
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I don't have a very advanced grounding in math, and I've been skipping over the technical aspects of the probability discussions on this blog. I've been reading lesswrong by mentally substituting "smart" for "Bayesian", "changing one's mind" for "updating", and having to vaguely trust and believe instead of rationally understanding.
Now I absolutely get it. I've got the key to the sequences. Thank you very very much!