RobinZ comments on Hacking the CEV for Fun and Profit - Less Wrong

52 Post author: Wei_Dai 03 June 2010 08:30PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (194)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: RobinZ 07 June 2010 04:46:22PM 1 point [-]

What, by 2042? There's no chance that it will take all the way to 2043 for this to occur? I wish I could be as confident in predicting events three decades yet to come!

(So far as I can tell from tracking down the press release and then the study in question, the prediction in question was formed by estimating birth, death, and migration factors for each age group within each demographic and performing the necessary calculations. Error bars are not indicated anywhere I have found.)

Comment deleted 07 June 2010 05:55:44PM [-]
Comment author: RobinZ 07 June 2010 06:47:16PM 1 point [-]

You're right - I'm just a bit trigger-happy about futurism.