= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
xamdam comments on Open Thread June 2010, Part 2 - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (534)
Let's get this thread going:
I'd like to ask everyone what probability bump they give to an idea given that some people believe it.
This is based on the fact that out of the humongous idea-space, some ideas are believed by (groups of) humans, and a subset of those are believed by humans and are true. (of course there exist some that are true and not yet believed by humans.)
So, given that some people believe X, what probability do you give for X being true, compared to Y which nobody currently believes?
I think it largely depends on a) what the idea is and b) who believes it = and what their rationality skills are.
I recently learned the hard way, that one can easily be an idiot in one area, while being very competent in another. Religious scientists / programmers etc. Or lets say people that are highly competent in their area of occupation without looking into other things.