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JoshuaZ comments on Open Thread June 2010, Part 3 - Less Wrong
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I'm thinking of writing a top-post on the difficulties of estimating P(B) in real-world applications of Bayes' Theorem. Would people be interested in such a post?
Funny, I've been entertaining the same idea for a few weeks.
Every time I read statements like "... and then I update the probabilities, based on this evidence ...", I think to myself: "I wish I had the time (or processing power) he thinks he has. ;)"