cupholder comments on Unknown knowns: Why did you choose to be monogamous? - Less Wrong
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That's a cute result!
For anyone else curious about the published paper, it's freely available. Annoyingly, it doesn't seem to say the standard deviation of number of sex partners for women under each condition, only averages, so it's hard to do an independent statistical check. The authors did do their own test:
The 'bogus pipeline condition' is one where the women were hooked up to a (not working) lie detector.
However, there's still a difference.
Apparently, there was no experiment with the men hooked up to a (bogus) lie detector, and I think there should have been.
I also have no idea what proportion of the population is cynical about lie detectors. I don't even have a strong prior on that one.
A much smaller one, which may well be within statistical bounds. Good point about people knowing that lie detectors don't work. That may account for any remaining difference.
Sure there was:
Thanks-- goes to show I should have read the linked material.
I'm surprised. I'd have expected that men would lie about having more partners rather than fewer, but that might be mere stereotyping on my part.
The other possibility I can think of is that people who think they're hooked to a lie detector don't just say what they immediately think is true, they check their memories more carefully.
Or maybe the sample's not representative of most men - the sample was of Midwestern psychology undergraduate students.