byrnema comments on Applied Bayes' Theorem: Reading People - Less Wrong

24 Post author: Kaj_Sotala 30 June 2010 05:21PM

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Comment author: byrnema 01 July 2010 04:14:37AM *  0 points [-]

She might have been more specific. I'll look it up..

Comment author: wedrifid 01 July 2010 04:34:56AM 0 points [-]

I'll be interested to hear. I'm getting the impression that there is an underlying insight to what she is saying that does match my observations.

Comment author: byrnema 02 July 2010 03:40:34AM *  0 points [-]

I read an older, very different version of the book, but in this version she writes,

If I peg someone as either very compassionate or unusually cold and harsh, I already know more about them and how they are likely to behave than their age, educational background, employment, physical appearance and sex combined could ever tell me.

Earlier on the same page she wrote,

I am not alone in my belief that an individual's level of compassion is a very good predictor of how he will think and act.

So the main difference in what I remembered and what she wrote is that while I had taken away that compassion is a good predictor of behavior, it's not necessarily easy to measure, just reliable information about a person once you have measured it.

Comment author: Kaj_Sotala 02 July 2010 04:13:50AM 1 point [-]

For the record, in the most recent version she also mentions socio-economic background and satisfaction with life as predictors that are nearly as powerful as compassion.