Vladimir_M comments on What Cost for Irrationality? - Less Wrong

59 Post author: Kaj_Sotala 01 July 2010 06:25PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (113)

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: Vladimir_M 01 July 2010 09:15:50PM *  11 points [-]

Another interesting point :

After 9/11, people became afraid of flying and started doing so less. Instead, they began driving more. Unfortunately, car travel has a much higher chance of death than air travel.

I have no doubt that there is a widespread and fundamentally irrational bias when it comes to people's fear of flying vs. driving. However, I'm not sure how much the above change was due to irrational fears, and how much due to the newly introduced inconveniences and indignities associated with air travel. Are there actually some reliable estimates about which cause was predominant? I'm sure at least some of the shift was due to entirely rational decisions motivated by these latter developments.

Comment author: Normal_Anomaly 05 December 2010 08:04:36PM 3 points [-]

But how rational is it really if you switch from flying to driving because you don't want the inconveniences, and end up dead? I guess it would be if the probability of dying was low enough, but it would have to be very low.