bentarm comments on What Cost for Irrationality? - Less Wrong

59 Post author: Kaj_Sotala 01 July 2010 06:25PM

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Tags: bias biases disaster economics finance rationality introduction whatintelligencetestsmiss

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Comment author: komponisto 03 July 2010 12:00:43AM 2 points [-]

The interesting number is not "the odds of two children in the same family dying of infant death syndrome" but "the odds of two children in the same family having died of infant death syndrome given that two children in that family had died", which is obviously much lower.

You meant "higher", right? (Or, alternatively, "odds against".)

Comment author: bentarm 04 July 2010 11:39:29PM 0 points [-]

Yes, I do mean "higher". I also mean "are"... I guess what was going through my head is that 1:1 (or whatever the actual number is) involves a lower number than 73,000,000:1 (although I'm not entirely sure that I didn't just make a mistake). I'll edit.

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