ShardPhoenix comments on Cryonics Wants To Be Big - Less Wrong

28 Post author: lsparrish 05 July 2010 07:50AM

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Comment author: ShardPhoenix 05 July 2010 12:52:56PM *  4 points [-]

I used to be a cryogenic engineer. My impression is that the cost of a large-scale cryonics grave would be high, on the order of $50-100M because of the reliability required of the vacuum and the extreme insulation requirements.

By my estimate, such a container could hold up to 125000 heads, at $800 each. Very affordable. On the other hand, if you needed a coffin-size space for full body, the price would be more like $25000.

Comment deleted 05 July 2010 01:08:43PM [-]
Comment author: lsparrish 05 July 2010 01:40:15PM *  4 points [-]

And that is the dilemma.

But I notice cryonics is popular among the geek-set, which is not as small as one might think. Most cryonicists have computer science backgrounds. What would happen if IT companies and engineering firms started offering cryonics as part of their standard benefits package?

Comment author: advancedatheist 05 July 2010 04:43:35PM *  5 points [-]

Cryonics doesn't necessarily need more male propeller heads. I think it would benefit from more women, married couples and entire families, which would give it the vitality and durability of mainstream social structures like churches. Unfortunately I don't know how to overcome the "hostile wife phenomenon," as well as the fact that a commitment to cryonics resists generational transmission.

As an example of the latter, Marce Johnson entered the paleo-cryonics scene in the 1960's, and she had 40 years to show her children through precept and example that she wanted cryonic suspension for herself. To summarize a long story, despite efforts to raise money for her cryotransport with CI after she developed Alzheimer's and lost her suspension arrangements with another organization, she died and the daughter with POA over her had her cremated, then informed Marce's cryonicist friends after the fact, apparently out of spite.

Comment author: [deleted] 06 July 2010 12:43:41AM 3 points [-]

It's true that social institutions do better if they have women and families on board.

Since you mentioned churches: keep in mind that anybody who believes in bodily resurrection will have a problem with their loved ones being buried without heads.

Cryonics would have to recruit from among the non-religious, which is a big handicap to begin with.

Comment author: JoshuaZ 06 July 2010 01:20:43AM *  2 points [-]

Since you mentioned churches: keep in mind that anybody who believes in bodily resurrection will have a problem with their loved ones being buried without heads.

Anyone who believes in a resurrection that is so fixed in nature that their deity will have trouble resurrecting the person if the body is in two pieces is probably so far removed from rationality that it probably isn't worth trying to convince them that cryonics is reasonable. (On a marginally related topic I've been thinking on and off of the halachic(Orthodox Jewish law) ramifications of cryonics and I think an argument can be potentially made for cryonic preservation as long as one does full body preservation. It might be interesting to talk to some Modern Orthodox Rabbis and see what they say. Judaism has generally been more willing to adopt new medical technology than Christianity so if one is trying to aim at religious individuals that might be one possible avenue of attack. ETA: Thinking slightly more about this, I think a strong argument can be made that if halachah allows for cryonics then halachah would actually mandate it (based on the rules about the measures one goes to save lives))

I suspect that among the less strongly religious, such as moderate Christians and Jews in the US, religion is not itself a major reason against cryonics. I suspect that the weirdness aura and cached thoughts about death are much larger elements.

Comment author: lsparrish 06 July 2010 01:42:19AM 2 points [-]

Yes, Christians I've talked to seem not to have a problem with God gathering scattered ashes on the resurrection day. It would detract from his omnipotence if he were unable to do so. And plenty of martyrs were burned at the stake or beheaded. In fact, the book of Revelation specifically reserves a place in heaven for those who are beheaded for not taking the mark of the beast. I don't know if other religions feel differently, but Biblically based Christianity does not have anything that says separating the body from the head is cause for grief on the part of the individual.

Comment author: lsparrish 05 July 2010 05:28:01PM 13 points [-]

Early adopters are (relatively) crazy and have to put up with ridicule from their friends because it's not cool yet. That's just how it goes. The trouble is that cryonics has stayed in the early adopter phase for 40 years.

Suddenly I have the mental image of a t-shirt reading "I was into cryonics before it was cool."

Comment author: ata 06 July 2010 06:42:43AM 4 points [-]

Suddenly I have the mental image of a t-shirt reading "I was into cryonics before it was cool."

I want one.

Comment author: Alicorn 06 July 2010 07:12:32AM 4 points [-]

I want a shirt that says "I was into cryonics before I was cooled."

Comment author: advancedatheist 05 July 2010 06:12:30PM 4 points [-]

With a few exceptions, why does cryonics continue to repel female early adopters? I draw the contrast with Mormonism, which drew a lot of female early adopters despite sanctions against their participation in it. One, they had to defy taboos about getting involved in weird, heretical new religions; and two, they especially had to defy taboos against polygyny and adultery. Yet their participation turned Mormonism into a demographically successful church. If Mormonism had attracted mostly men, its demographic breakthrough wouldn't have happened.

Comment author: lsparrish 06 July 2010 02:01:44AM 1 point [-]

I imagine Mormonism gave women the spiritual connection which most church groups do. I doubt it is coincidental that women outnumber men in churches. The protection of a powerful alpha male, as God is portrayed, might be something they can connect with more easily than men, on average.

But religion is not the only thing that disproportionately attracts women... For example, the Twilight fandom is mostly female.

Comment author: [deleted] 06 July 2010 02:15:54AM 4 points [-]

While we're speculating, I think it's that "kin work" (keeping up with family and friends, taking care of the elderly, child-rearing) primarily falls to women. Churches provide a framework to do that. If you've noticed, women are highly active in the parts of a church that aren't explicitly about God -- fundraising committees, education committees, various organizing functions. It's community-building glue.

Cryonics, unlike Mormonism, doesn't have that aspect. As of now, it's a transaction made by an individual. I'm not sure how one would make cryonics by itself "church-like."

You could try to make a rationalist social institution -- like a Masonic lodge -- that combined charitable work, socializing, activities for children, educational lectures, and activities/volunteering opportunities for the elderly. Cryonics could be built into that. The point is, it has to be a family and community institution.

Comment author: Alicorn 06 July 2010 02:06:21AM 3 points [-]

Perhaps coincidentally, Twilight was written by a Mormon.

Comment author: lsparrish 06 July 2010 04:24:35PM *  2 points [-]

Some of my favorite authors are Mormon. Orson Scott Card, Brandon Sanderson, and Howard Tayler. Somehow they seem to go to greater extremes in their fiction than non-Mormons on average. And they have no qualms about literally turning a character into God (given that Mormon theology includes this eventually happening to the faithful anyway). There's a kind of balance of creepiness/weirdness and old-fashioned family values, which is in itself perhaps more disturbing in a way.

I think it has to do with how success of a meme seems to have a lot to do with its power to resolve cognitive dissonance -- but what this implies is that the cognitive dissonance must exist to begin with. When they encounter the creep factor of cryonics, most people resolve cognitive dissonance by ignoring it, downplaying its chances of success, or imagining fantastic reasons it would not work. Cryonicists themselves might resolve the dissonance factors by reassuring themselves that it's the only sane thing to do in face of inevitable deanimation, reading up on the facts, and hoping for improvements in the process before they die. But that sort of thing takes a lot of activity in the logical areas of the brain.

Mormons seem to resolve the cognitive dissonance factors of their religion (and the weirder aspects of life in general) by turning to a focus on human relationships -- family, romance, etc. Perhaps the cognitive functions involved in this are easier to stimulate in a group that is highly inclusive of women and children.

Comment author: wedrifid 08 July 2010 06:13:24AM 1 point [-]

Perhaps the cognitive functions involved in this are easier to stimulate in a group that is highly inclusive of women and children.

... per household?

Comment author: Alicorn 06 July 2010 05:27:14PM 3 points [-]

Zenna Henderson is another splendid Mormon author. One of my Mormon friends aspires to write children's books, although she's not yet been published, and her writing is reasonably good as well. Said friend accounts for this strong representation of Mormons in the fiction world by saying that the religion encourages imagination and creativity. (It's perfectly acceptable to plan for being one of the future deities who gets to run a universe later, so one may as well think about how one plans to do it.)

Comment author: RobinZ 06 July 2010 01:50:44AM 3 points [-]

With a few exceptions, why does cryonics continue to repel female early adopters?

A few exceptions? I don't get the impression that the statistics are that severely skewed.

Comment author: arundelo 08 July 2010 02:49:41PM *  3 points [-]

According to Kerry Howley's NYT article just linked by ciphergoth:

The ratio of men to women among living [cryonicists] is roughly three to one.

(Problematic, but not quite "few exceptions" territory.)

Comment author: apophenia 05 July 2010 03:38:29PM 3 points [-]

I don't tell any of the programmers or computer scientists I work with about cryonics for social reasons. While many cryonicists have computer science backgrounds, I do not feel the reverse is true.

Comment author: Blueberry 05 July 2010 06:50:15PM 2 points [-]

Social reasons? You're scared they'll think you're weird? I'd think most programmers would be open to a discussion about the brain as a program, at least. Is it really that weird?

Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 05 July 2010 07:16:55PM *  20 points [-]

Things like this are 90% self-confidence and 10% innate weirdness. Talk about it like it's obvious, normal, and you're part of a community of smart people out there, and they'll pick up on the cues.

I know saying that won't help a lot of people, but it's what I do. When I introduce cryonics to someone, I don't sound nervous and timid and censure-expecting, I take off my necklace and say "This is my contract of immortality with the cult of the severed head."

Comment author: Alicorn 05 July 2010 10:56:58PM 7 points [-]

Aren't you signed up with CI, which doesn't do neuro? Whence the severed head?

Comment author: apophenia 05 July 2010 08:08:55PM 5 points [-]

I actually have the self confidence that it's the correct decision, just not that I'll be socially accepted. Analogously, I came out about being bi many years back and was completely wrong--it appears to be fine among people I know. It's completely reasonable that I may be wrong again. Have you found that cryonics is socially acceptable, or do you just think it's important to change its reputation?

Comment author: MichaelVassar 06 July 2010 04:36:54PM 10 points [-]

I have found that anything is socially acceptable so long as you effectively signal that your non-conformity is a choice, not a result of an inability to conform or a way of coping with fear of rejection. Weird is NEVER OK with successful people. Deliberately different is ALWAYS OK so long as you are willing to not draw attention to it all the time.

Example. Vibrams with a suit are generally the best attire for most formal situations in my experience. You show that you are able and willing to conform, not psychologically unable to do so, but you also show that you aren't afraid of the penalties for not conforming and that you will stand up for some principles some of the time. That's attractive. The devil classically does it, in myths where he can/will take any form and disguise himself perfectly except for retaining cloven hooves, a tail and/or some similar indication of his identity.

Comment author: khafra 16 July 2010 07:14:49PM 0 points [-]

Unfortunately, the Vibrams-and-suit look is derivative and geeky, not original; but the principle (even applied using Vibrams) certainly works for me.

Comment author: Kevin 14 July 2010 08:46:38PM 0 points [-]

So you will be wearing Vibrams at the Singularity Summit?

(there is actually some legitimate market demand for barefoot type shoes that are styled appropriately to be worn formally)

Comment author: whpearson 14 July 2010 08:59:29PM 1 point [-]

There are Vivo Barefoots, which are probably more appropriate.

Comment author: LucasSloan 10 July 2010 06:02:31AM 3 points [-]

So the trick to doing what you suggest is to conform on most axes, but be obviously non-conformist about the things you care about in a confident, but not confrontational way?

Comment author: Blueberry 06 July 2010 08:26:32PM 3 points [-]

Vibrams with a suit are generally the best attire for most formal situations in my experience.

Ew. I really hope no one seriously does that. Especially in a courtroom.

Comment author: MichaelVassar 15 July 2010 03:57:05PM *  0 points [-]

Of course not in a courtroom. That's not "most formal situations" but rather almost literally a contest to publicly display willingness to conform to elite norms and generally to submit.

Comment author: Blueberry 06 July 2010 01:09:57AM 4 points [-]

I talk about the idea with a lot of people, and no one seems to think poorly of me for wanting to do it, though many people say they wouldn't want to. I just don't see it as that weird or not socially acceptable.

Comment author: lsparrish 05 July 2010 04:11:27PM 1 point [-]

I wonder if there is a measurable talent distribution? Are any of the really famous hackers also cryonicists, or open to the idea?

Come to think of it, I haven't heard of any.

Too bad. If there was a link between being a good hacker and being a cryonicist, that would make it an easier sell.

Comment author: ata 06 July 2010 06:46:49AM *  2 points [-]

There's Hal Finney, for one. Not sure if he counts as "famous", though he's at least famous enough to merit a Wikipedia article, and he surely qualifies as a "good hacker".

Comment author: apophenia 05 July 2010 07:59:59PM 3 points [-]

That's an interesting question. Intense, good hackers might be more open to it than it's-a-job-programmers, if only because people less mainstream in one area often are in others. I really have no idea. I'll do an informal survey of people I know online (hackers) and people at my work (programmers). I've seen P.J. Eby posting to the python development list, so I'd label him a hacker. What is your opinion on cryonics, pjeby?

Comment author: Jolly 14 July 2010 01:42:42AM 1 point [-]

I'm a hacker, good at it, and signed up for cryonics. I also know of at least one other hacker who is signed up, and another who is in the process of being signed up.