mchouza comments on Open Thread: July 2010, Part 2 - Less Wrong
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From a recent newspaper story:
I haven't checked this calculation at all, but I'm confident that it's wrong, for the simple reason that it is far more likely that some "mathematician" gave them the wrong numbers than that any compactly describable event with odds of 1 in 18 septillion against it has actually been reported on, in writing, in the history of intelligent life on my Everett branch of Earth. Discuss?
It's also far more likely that she cheated. Or that there is a conspiracy in the Lottery to make she win four times.