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ciphergoth comments on Open Thread: July 2010, Part 2 - Less Wrong
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Can you elaborate on what specifically you think they're doing wrong?
I haven't looked in detail, but two things struck me at a glance: first, it's tremendously specific; second, the impact of technologies like brain emulation seems hugely understated.
The silly thing is that they present it as a timeline, but it is in fact an incoherent list of technological breakthroughs without really considering the interaction between them. It's like they had a nano writer, a climate writer and so on, all of them wrote a timeline, and the editors merged them in the end.
He he, poor WW2 veterans miss the deadline by just one year:
When I'm (physically) driving down the street, I'd like to be able to right-click on a tree I see and find out what kind of tree it is. And who planted it (e.g., federal or state funds) and when, if I want to know.
I can't wait till then.