Cameron_Taylor comments on Open Thread: July 2010, Part 2 - Less Wrong
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http://www.usatoday.com/news/offbeat/2010-07-13-lottery-winner-texas_N.htm?csp=obinsite
My prior for the probability of winning the lottery by fraud is high enough to settle the question: the woman discussed in the article is cheating.
Does anyone disagree with this?
What's your secret? ;)
See my reply to CronoDAS regarding the possibility of a fifth lottery win.