Vladimir_Nesov comments on The President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology is soliciting ideas - Less Wrong

9 Post author: Kevin 12 July 2010 11:41PM

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Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 13 July 2010 09:22:37PM *  0 points [-]

You can apply laws of probability to intuitive notions of plausibility as well (and some informal arguments won't be valid if they violate these laws, like both X and ~X being unexpected). Specific numbers don't have to be thought up to do that.