MichaelVassar comments on Financial incentives don't get rid of bias? Prize for best answer. - Less Wrong

3 [deleted] 15 July 2010 01:24PM

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Comment author: MichaelVassar 21 July 2010 05:37:55AM 1 point [-]

The standard response to that is "the market can stay irrational for longer than you can stay solvent."

also, in my case

What historical rate of return on investment = rich?

Comment author: mattnewport 21 July 2010 08:47:44PM 0 points [-]

The standard response to that is "the market can stay irrational for longer than you can stay solvent."

It's a nice line but I think if being more 'rational' than the market causes you to lose all your money then you're doing 'rational' wrong. Rationality is supposed to be about winning, not about being 'right' but broke.

What historical rate of return on investment = rich?

Consistently displaying positive alpha over 5+ years would be indicative of some genuine investment skill. Some top hedge fund managers seem to be able to do this but it is a pretty rare level of talent.

Comment author: xamdam 21 July 2010 03:52:57PM *  0 points [-]

12+% with lowish volatility for 5 years would be impressive, especially if it's compounded.