Cyan comments on Is Santa Real? - Less Wrong

19 Post author: thomblake 13 March 2009 08:45PM

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Comment author: Cyan 13 March 2009 09:45:07PM *  7 points [-]

The prosecutor's fallacy seems to be in play here -- Pr(rationalist | lied to as a child) is not necesarily equal to Pr(lied to as a child | rationalist). (And that's not even getting into the swamp of causality...)