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This video addresses this question : Anna Salamon's 2nd Talk at Singularity Summit 2009 -- How Much it Matters to Know What Matters: A Back of the Envelope Calculation
It is 15 minutes long, but you can take a look at 11m37s
Edit : added the name of the video, thanks for the remark Vladimir.
The link above is Anna Salamon's 2nd Talk at Singularity Summit 2009 "How Much it Matters to Know What Matters: A Back of the Envelope Calculation."
(You should give some hint of the content of a link you give, at least the title of the talk.)