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Unknowns comments on Contrived infinite-torture scenarios: July 2010 - Less Wrong
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Comments (188)
The probability of this is much lower than 1%.
However, the fact that it is posted here increases its probability by orders of magnitude, precisely on account of the argument made in the second paragraph: now all someone has to do is to make it happen, just to prove a point. Previously, they had to come up with the exact scenario, which means that previously it was orders of magnitude less probable.
Why are people so interested in increasing the chances of us being tortured?
This is an excellent point. Somebody should make a chain letter sort of thing about something really GOOD happening, and then get it posted everywhere, and maybe with enough comments we can increase the probability of that by orders of magnitude!
And if you don't repost it, you'll be trapped in ohio for 7000000000000000.2 years.
Or does it only work with bad things?
It works with good things too. Even so, the probability both before and after would still be very low, even after the increase of orders of magnitude, so it could be outweighed by the disutility of people receiving chain letters.