Sure. The point is that - to conclude that a target will be missed - it is not sufficient to observe how small it is. Programmers rountinely hit miniscule targets in search spaces. To make the case, you would also need to argue that those aiming at the target are not good marksmen.
This thread is for the discussion of Less Wrong topics that have not appeared in recent posts. If a discussion gets unwieldy, celebrate by turning it into a top-level post.