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uninverted comments on Bloggingheads: Robert Wright and Eliezer Yudkowsky - Less Wrong
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Any hypothesis that assigns a really low probability to the present state of the universe is probably wrong.
That's what I said.
(The universe is in a state such that to uniquely determine it, we need a very complicated theory. Therefore, we should look for less complicated theories which contain it and many other things, and count on anthropics to ensure we only see the parts of the universe we're accustomed to.)