lsparrish comments on Against Cryonics & For Cost-Effective Charity - Less Wrong

10 Post author: multifoliaterose 10 August 2010 03:59AM

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Comment author: lsparrish 11 August 2010 07:47:12PM 3 points [-]

Disagree. A heart transplant that adds a few decades is less valuable than a cryopreservation that adds a few millennia.

Also, heart transplants are a congestion resource whereas cryonics is a scale resource.

Comment author: Jayson_Virissimo 12 August 2010 02:32:16AM 0 points [-]

A heart transplant that adds a few decades is less valuable than a cryopreservation that adds a few millennia.

So what? The value of winning the lottery is much higher than working for the next five years, but that doesn't mean it has a higher expected utility.

The expected value of an act is the sum of the products (utilities x probabilities).

Unless you think a heart transplant is just as probable to work as cryonics, then you must consider more than simply the value of each act.

Comment author: lsparrish 12 August 2010 03:05:20AM 2 points [-]

The expected value of an act is the sum of the products (utilities x probabilities).

To offset a difference in living 100 times as much longer (even not accounting for other utilities like quality of life), it takes 100 times the probability. I don't think cryonics is 100 times less likely to work than a heart transplant.