katydee comments on Five-minute rationality techniques - Less Wrong
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If the standard is nukes and radar, then only things which leave the other side saying "how is that even possible?" or "that came out of nowhere" counts as surprising.
Robot drones are not surprising. I'm pretty sure invisibility tech would not be surprising. Anti-gravity would be surprising.
It is difficult for me to conceive of military technology that is:
a) potentially surprising
b) powerful enough to make a big difference
c) near-future
"Rods from God" might count, if they exist, but they're not surprising. The best example I can think of is strong memetic warfare, but I'm not confident that will be developed in the near future (or indeed ever).