army1987 comments on Closet survey #1 - Less Wrong

53 [deleted] 14 March 2009 07:51AM

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Comment author: [deleted] 28 December 2012 12:28:23PM 3 points [-]

"All discussion of gender relations on LessWrong, OvercomingBias, or any similar forum, will converge on GenderFail." (This last one's from April 2010, but still.)

[emphasis added]

Wow. Essentially, they prophesied Elevatorgate.

Comment author: Oligopsony 28 December 2012 01:27:47PM 1 point [-]

It isn't prophecy if you have a large-n sample.

Comment author: satt 29 December 2012 01:13:50PM 0 points [-]

It's reference class forecasting!