My point is that your evidence has to stand up to whatever estimations you come up with. My point is the missing transparency in your decision making regarding the possibility of danger posed by superhuman AI. My point is that any form of external peer review is missing and that therefore I either have to believe you or learn enough to judge all of your claims myself after reading hundreds of posts and thousands of documents to find some pieces of evidence hidden beneath. My point is that competition is necessary, that not just the SIAI should work on the relevant problems. There are many other points you seem to be missing entirely.